Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000098 0.000108 0.000118 0.000130 0.000143 0.000157 0.000173
2025-12-28 0.000079 0.000093 0.000109 0.000130 0.000154 0.000182 0.000218
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000084 0.000104 0.000130 0.000164 0.000206 0.000263
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000076 0.000098 0.000129 0.000170 0.000223 0.000300
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000071 0.000095 0.000129 0.000177 0.000244 0.000343
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000066 0.000091 0.000127 0.000181 0.000258 0.000379
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000062 0.000088 0.000127 0.000187 0.000276 0.000421
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000058 0.000084 0.000125 0.000189 0.000288 0.000455
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000054 0.000080 0.000122 0.000190 0.000298 0.000487
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000052 0.000079 0.000123 0.000197 0.000318 0.000537
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000050 0.000078 0.000125 0.000206 0.000341 0.000596
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000047 0.000075 0.000122 0.000205 0.000349 0.000628
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000044 0.000070 0.000118 0.000202 0.000353 0.000653
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000042 0.000069 0.000118 0.000208 0.000374 0.000715
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000119 0.000215 0.000397 0.000785
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000117 0.000217 0.000411 0.000837
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000037 0.000065 0.000118 0.000223 0.000433 0.000910
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000116 0.000225 0.000446 0.000965
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000116 0.000229 0.000466 0.001038
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000059 0.000114 0.000230 0.000478 0.001092
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000112 0.000229 0.000487 0.001142
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000113 0.000236 0.000513 0.001238
2026-05-24 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000114 0.000245 0.000545 0.001354